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CS

CARRIAGE SERVICES INC (CSV)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered modest topline growth and strong non-GAAP profitability: revenue rose 2.0% YoY to $102.74M, adjusted diluted EPS increased 17.2% YoY to $0.75, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 32.1% (from 30.5%) .
  • GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.41 (from $0.63) on higher losses from divestitures/impairments; management emphasized the underlying operating strength and margin expansion on an adjusted basis .
  • Guidance ranges were narrowed with the midpoint reaffirmed/raised for EPS and FCF; overhead targeted at 13–13.5% of revenue and leverage expected to end 2025 near ~4.0x–4.1x .
  • Strategic portfolio actions remained a catalyst: divestiture of non-core assets (proceeds >$19M; ~$9M revenue and ~$2.4M EBITDA removed) and acquisition in Orlando (Osceola, >$15M revenue last year), plus rollouts of Sales Edge 2.0 CRM and Titan (AI sales agent) to accelerate preneed sales .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Cemetery operating revenue up 12.6% YoY and preneed cemetery sales up 21.4%; average price per preneed interment right sold increased 15.1% YoY, supporting margin expansion .
  • Financial revenue rose 27.2% YoY driven by 27.9% growth in preneed insurance contracts and general agency commission revenue; CEO: “Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.75…underscoring our commitment to disciplined execution and purposeful growth” .
  • Adjusted consolidated EBITDA grew to $32.98M with margin of 32.1% (+160 bps YoY); overhead efficiency improved to 13.4% of revenue (vs. 14.1% YoY) .

What Went Wrong

  • Funeral contract volume declined 5.5% YoY in Q3; management cited lower volumes in July/August before normalization in September/October .
  • GAAP results were pressured by a $6.6M net loss on divestitures and impairment charges, driving GAAP diluted EPS down to $0.41 (from $0.63) .
  • Operating income margin compressed to 17.0% from 22.7% YoY; cemetery revenue recognition timing and fixed-cost leverage in funeral contributed to quarterly margin dynamics .

Financial Results

Multi-Quarter Trend (Q1 → Q3 2025)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$107.07 $102.15 $102.74
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$31.56 $23.998 $17.507
Operating Income Margin %29.5% 23.5% 17.0%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.34 $0.74 $0.41
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.96 $0.74 $0.75
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$32.95 $32.26 $32.98
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %30.8% 31.6% 32.1%

YoY and Estimates (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024; Consensus)

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Millions)$100.69 $102.74 $101.43*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.63 $0.41
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.64 $0.75 $0.728*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$30.74 $32.98 $31.74*

Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown (Revenue and EBITDA Margin)

SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($MM)Q3 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q3 2024 EBITDA Margin %Q3 2025 EBITDA Margin %
Funeral Operating$56.61 $55.85 38.1% 36.8%
Cemetery Operating$31.60 $35.59 49.0% 48.5%
Financial$7.11 $9.04 92.0% 89.3%
Ancillary$1.05 $0.86 14.8% 20.2%

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Funeral Contracts (Consolidated)10,713 10,589 10,124
Avg Revenue per Funeral Contract ($)$5,540 $5,626 $5,651
Burial Rate %31.6% 31.4% 31.5%
Cremation Rate %60.7% 61.6% 61.3%
Preneed Interment Rights Sold (Consol.)3,511 4,016 3,569
Avg Price per Preneed Interment Right ($)$5,360 $5,871 $6,257

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Revenue ($MM)FY 2025$410 – $420 $413 – $417 Narrowed; midpoint maintained (~$415)
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)FY 2025$129 – $134 $130 – $132 Narrowed; midpoint slightly lower (~$131.0 vs ~$131.5)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$3.15 – $3.35 $3.25 – $3.30 Raised midpoint (to ~$3.275)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($MM)FY 2025$40 – $50 $44 – $48 Raised; narrowed range
Overhead (% of Revenue)FY 202513.0% – 13.5% (call) New detail
Leverage Ratio (x)FY 2025 YE4.0x – 4.1x (call) New detail
Dividend per Share ($)Q4 2025$0.1125 declared; payable Dec 1, 2025 Confirmed cadence

Non-GAAP outlook excludes divestiture gains/losses, acquisition costs, severance, impairments, special items; GAAP reconciliations are not available forward-looking .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1–Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/Technology for SalesBuilding transformation; partnerships; return to growth via acquisitions (Q2) Launching Sales Edge 2.0 CRM and Titan AI agent to generate leads and appointments Acceleration; tech-enabled preneed growth
Funeral Volume/MacroQ1 benefited from flu season shift; normalized outlook July/Aug softness; normalization in Sept/Oct; modeling 1–2% volume growth in 2026 Near-term normalization; cautious macro
Cemetery Permitting/RecognitionSome delays earlier in year (Q2) Renewed momentum; recognition timing helped Q3; sinkhole resolution impact recognized Improving execution; operational learnings
M&A Pipeline & MultiplesUnder contract to acquire >$15M revenue; leverage reduction (Q2) Q4 quiet; expect busy Q1; typical 7–8x EBITDA, high single digits for premium assets Pipeline improving; disciplined pricing
Overhead & LeverageOverhead down; leverage reduced to 4.2x (Q2) Overhead 13.4% in Q3; leverage 4.1x; lower interest expense YoY Continued cost discipline; deleveraging
Insurance-Funded PreneedStrategy roll-out; partners NGL/Precoa (Q2) Commission revenue $2.6M (+61% YoY); monthly preneed funeral sales >$7M in Sept Strong momentum; further tools rolling out

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “Total operating revenue grew 5.2% year-over-year, driven by 21.4% growth in cemetery preneed sales combined with financial revenue growth of 27.2%… Purposeful Growth in Action - Building Momentum Toward Our 2030 Vision” .
  • CFO: “Adjusted EPS increased to $0.75 from $0.64… GAAP performance was negatively impacted by a loss on divestitures and impairment of long-lived assets… leverage ratio improved to 4.1x… interest expense fell by $1.1M” .
  • CEO on technology: “We will introduce Titan, our AI-powered sales agent… Sales Edge 2.0 and Titan represent a significant step forward… to accelerate sales growth” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Funeral volume: Mid-single-digit declines in July/August; normalization in September and positive October; baseline 2026 funeral volume modeled at low single-digit growth .
  • Cemetery performance: Q3 benefited from recognition of sales delayed by permitting/sinkhole; expectation to maintain a 10–20% preneed sales growth range .
  • Insurance-funded preneed: Fully rolled out; September set all-time high >$7M; partners adding CRM and AI tools; seen as mid-innings with room to grow .
  • Trinity system implementation: Costs persist into 2026; full network benefits expected in 2027 due to phased rollout and parallel systems for accuracy .
  • M&A: Expect activity in Q1 2026; typical multiples 7–8x, high single digits for premium assets; divested Q3 businesses were ~$9M revenue, ~$2.4M EBITDA; proceeds >$19M .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Adjusted diluted EPS $0.75 vs consensus $0.728 → bold beat driven by cemetery preneed growth and overhead efficiency .
  • Revenue: $102.74M vs consensus $101.43M → bold beat; financial revenue tailwinds from insurance-funded preneed .
  • EBITDA: S&P Global’s EBITDA actual of ~$30.84M vs consensus ~$31.74M suggests a miss under their definition, while company-reported consolidated EBITDA was $32.58M and adjusted EBITDA $32.98M; differences reflect methodology/definition .

Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.

MetricQ3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus*Surprise
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.75 $0.728*Beat
Revenue ($USD Millions)$102.74 $101.43*Beat
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$32.58 (Consol.) / $32.98 (Adj.) $31.74*Mixed vs S&P definition

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Adjusted profitability is improving despite GAAP noise from divestiture/impairment; margin expansion and overhead discipline are supporting EPS growth .
  • Cemetery preneed momentum and insurance-funded preneed commissions are key drivers; technology rollouts (Sales Edge 2.0, Titan AI) should enhance lead generation and conversion into 2026 .
  • Guidance tightened with raised EPS/FCF midpoints; overhead and leverage targets increase confidence in 2025 exit and set a base for 2026 .
  • Near-term trading: narrative skew positive on adjusted results and guidance narrowing; watch Q4 funeral volume normalization and execution of tech-enabled sales to sustain topline/margin .
  • Medium-term thesis: M&A pipeline (Q1 timing), disciplined multiples, and portfolio optimization (divest non-core, acquire premier assets) underpin revenue mix quality and deleveraging .
  • Monitor EBITDA definition vs consensus when evaluating “beats”; use company-adjusted EBITDA for internal trend analysis and S&P consensus for market expectations .
  • Dividend remains consistent ($0.1125 per share); supports total return while company continues to invest in growth and balance sheet strength .